Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16–17, 2026, and the associated press conference mark his initial public test in the role after his May 22 swearing-in. Markets are watching for signals on communication style, including possible moves toward fewer post-meeting briefings and greater strategic ambiguity compared with the prior approach of frequent updates. No rate change is widely anticipated, yet traders focus on revisions to the dot plot, Summary of Economic Projections, and any comments on inflation risks, balance-sheet policy, or the shift toward a neutral stance. Recent hawkish remarks from officials and external warnings about persistent price pressures add to the emphasis on how Warsh frames the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,102 Vol.
2026/06/18
Inflation 40+ times
54%
Inflation 50+ times
40%
Inflation 60+ times
25%
Job 15+ times
47%
Jerome / Powell
77%
Trump
19%
Rate / Cut
95%
Money
42%
Good Afternoon
81%
Depression / Recession
45%
Chair
77%
FED
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
Balance Sheet
75%
Dual Mandate
54%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
38%
I Don't Know
49%
Downside
42%
Trend
42%
Stable / Stability
80%
Job Market
63%
Maximum Employment
79%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
32%
Asymmetric
32%
$31,102 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
$190 Vol.
54%
Inflation 50+ times
$71 Vol.
40%
Inflation 60+ times
$6 Vol.
25%
Job 15+ times
$409 Vol.
47%
Jerome / Powell
$347 Vol.
77%
Trump
$9,858 Vol.
19%
Rate / Cut
$362 Vol.
95%
Money
$695 Vol.
42%
Good Afternoon
$4,614 Vol.
81%
Depression / Recession
$2,101 Vol.
45%
Chair
$814 Vol.
77%
FED
$556 Vol.
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$594 Vol.
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$1,162 Vol.
11%
Balance Sheet
$262 Vol.
75%
Dual Mandate
$88 Vol.
54%
Goods Inflation
$1,391 Vol.
35%
Stock
$680 Vol.
38%
I Don't Know
$1,836 Vol.
49%
Downside
$15 Vol.
42%
Trend
$643 Vol.
42%
Stable / Stability
$1,008 Vol.
80%
Job Market
$812 Vol.
63%
Maximum Employment
$590 Vol.
79%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$376 Vol.
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
$589 Vol.
32%
Asymmetric
$1,037 Vol.
32%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16–17, 2026, and the associated press conference mark his initial public test in the role after his May 22 swearing-in. Markets are watching for signals on communication style, including possible moves toward fewer post-meeting briefings and greater strategic ambiguity compared with the prior approach of frequent updates. No rate change is widely anticipated, yet traders focus on revisions to the dot plot, Summary of Economic Projections, and any comments on inflation risks, balance-sheet policy, or the shift toward a neutral stance. Recent hawkish remarks from officials and external warnings about persistent price pressures add to the emphasis on how Warsh frames the outlook.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
マーケット開始日： Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
音量
$31,102終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16–17, 2026, and the associated press conference mark his initial public test in the role after his May 22 swearing-in. Markets are watching for signals on communication style, including possible moves toward fewer post-meeting briefings and greater strategic ambiguity compared with the prior approach of frequent updates. No rate change is widely anticipated, yet traders focus on revisions to the dot plot, Summary of Economic Projections, and any comments on inflation risks, balance-sheet policy, or the shift toward a neutral stance. Recent hawkish remarks from officials and external warnings about persistent price pressures add to the emphasis on how Warsh frames the outlook.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
音量
$31,102終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16–17, 2026, and the associated press conference mark his initial public test in the role after his May 22 swearing-in. Markets are watching for signals on communication style, including possible moves toward fewer post-meeting briefings and greater strategic ambiguity compared with the prior approach of frequent updates. No rate change is widely anticipated, yet traders focus on revisions to the dot plot, Summary of Economic Projections, and any comments on inflation risks, balance-sheet policy, or the shift toward a neutral stance. Recent hawkish remarks from officials and external warnings about persistent price pressures add to the emphasis on how Warsh frames the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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