Trader consensus assigns a 61.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored unanimity after the April 28-29 session produced four dissents—the highest since 1992. Three regional presidents opposed the statement’s easing bias amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan highlighting risks from elevated price pressures. Recent labor-market softening and stable Treasury yields have since tempered hawkish concerns, supporting the view that the June statement may avoid divisive language on future rate cuts. With the meeting just weeks away and the Summary of Economic Projections due, markets price limited scope for renewed divisions unless incoming data sharply alters inflation or employment trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 63%
2 22%
1 18%
3 2%
$16,284 Vol.
$16,284 Vol.
0
63%
1
18%
2
16%
3
8%
4+
2%
0 63%
2 22%
1 18%
3 2%
$16,284 Vol.
$16,284 Vol.
0
63%
1
18%
2
16%
3
8%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 61.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored unanimity after the April 28-29 session produced four dissents—the highest since 1992. Three regional presidents opposed the statement’s easing bias amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan highlighting risks from elevated price pressures. Recent labor-market softening and stable Treasury yields have since tempered hawkish concerns, supporting the view that the June statement may avoid divisive language on future rate cuts. With the meeting just weeks away and the Summary of Economic Projections due, markets price limited scope for renewed divisions unless incoming data sharply alters inflation or employment trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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