Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the immediate post-term window. Powell publicly confirmed during his final policy meeting that he would step aside as chair on that date while remaining on the Board of Governors through 2028. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the final procedural hurdle, enabling an orderly handover without extension or delay. These verified developments, including Powell’s explicit commitment to depart and the absence of last-minute legal or political reversals, have concentrated implied probabilities in the mid-to-late May range, consistent with the scheduled end of his leadership tenure and the Fed’s institutional transition timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 55.7%
May 23–29 26.9%
May 30–June 5 5.7%
June 6–12 2.1%
$157,545 Vol.
$157,545 Vol.
2026/07/03
May 15–22
51%
May 23–29
27%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 55.7%
May 23–29 26.9%
May 30–June 5 5.7%
June 6–12 2.1%
$157,545 Vol.
$157,545 Vol.
2026/07/03
May 15–22
$55,599 Vol.
51%
May 23–29
$7,676 Vol.
27%
May 30–June 5
$8,963 Vol.
6%
June 6–12
$8,910 Vol.
2%
June 13–19
$8,726 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$9,942 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,051 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$15,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the immediate post-term window. Powell publicly confirmed during his final policy meeting that he would step aside as chair on that date while remaining on the Board of Governors through 2028. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the final procedural hurdle, enabling an orderly handover without extension or delay. These verified developments, including Powell’s explicit commitment to depart and the absence of last-minute legal or political reversals, have concentrated implied probabilities in the mid-to-late May range, consistent with the scheduled end of his leadership tenure and the Fed’s institutional transition timeline.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
音量
$157,545終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the immediate post-term window. Powell publicly confirmed during his final policy meeting that he would step aside as chair on that date while remaining on the Board of Governors through 2028. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the final procedural hurdle, enabling an orderly handover without extension or delay. These verified developments, including Powell’s explicit commitment to depart and the absence of last-minute legal or political reversals, have concentrated implied probabilities in the mid-to-late May range, consistent with the scheduled end of his leadership tenure and the Fed’s institutional transition timeline.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$157,545終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the immediate post-term window. Powell publicly confirmed during his final policy meeting that he would step aside as chair on that date while remaining on the Board of Governors through 2028. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the final procedural hurdle, enabling an orderly handover without extension or delay. These verified developments, including Powell’s explicit commitment to depart and the absence of last-minute legal or political reversals, have concentrated implied probabilities in the mid-to-late May range, consistent with the scheduled end of his leadership tenure and the Fed’s institutional transition timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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