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icon for 2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?

2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?

icon for 2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?

2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?

12月 31

12月 31

12月31日までに会談なし 61%

China 32%

United States 3.3%

Gulf country <1%

Polymarket

$489,915 Vol.

12月31日までに会談なし 61%

China 32%

United States 3.3%

Gulf country <1%

Polymarket

$489,915 Vol.

icon for 12月31日までに会談なし

12月31日までに会談なし

$96,434 Vol.

61%

icon for China

China

$62,147 Vol.

32%

icon for United States

United States

$25,355 Vol.

3%

icon for Gulf country

Gulf country

$17,232 Vol.

1%

icon for Other

Other

$18,160 Vol.

1%

icon for Turkey

Turkey

$25,095 Vol.

1%

icon for Other EU country

Other EU country

$16,060 Vol.

1%

icon for Russia

Russia

$66,447 Vol.

1%

icon for Finland

Finland

$21,461 Vol.

<1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$20,685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belarus

Belarus

$19,715 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$17,434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$17,686 Vol.

<1%

icon for Japan

Japan

$24,772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$41,264 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic momentum between the leaders has stalled following their August 2025 Alaska summit, which produced no ceasefire or framework for ending the Ukraine conflict and left bilateral engagement largely dormant. Trader pricing reflects this inertia, with the high share for no meeting by year-end driven by the absence of confirmed follow-up plans, White House signals ruling out near-term encounters, and persistent battlefield dynamics that have not created urgency for new talks. China leads other locations due to deepening Russia-China ties and recent U.S.-China stabilization efforts that could provide neutral ground, while U.S. venues such as the December G20 remain low-probability given expressed doubts about attendance. Other sites stay negligible absent new scheduling announcements or multilateral triggers within the remaining months of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$489,915
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic momentum between the leaders has stalled following their August 2025 Alaska summit, which produced no ceasefire or framework for ending the Ukraine conflict and left bilateral engagement largely dormant. Trader pricing reflects this inertia, with the high share for no meeting by year-end driven by the absence of confirmed follow-up plans, White House signals ruling out near-term encounters, and persistent battlefield dynamics that have not created urgency for new talks. China leads other locations due to deepening Russia-China ties and recent U.S.-China stabilization efforts that could provide neutral ground, while U.S. venues such as the December G20 remain low-probability given expressed doubts about attendance. Other sites stay negligible absent new scheduling announcements or multilateral triggers within the remaining months of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$489,915
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日までに会談なし」で61%、次いで「China」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?」は$489.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日までに会談なし」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「China」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。