Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate to exit as CEO before the December 31, 2026, resolution, with a 21% implied probability amid ongoing executive churn—including the April departures of product chief Kevin Weil and design lead Bill Peebles as OpenAI shutters projects like Sora. Apple's Tim Cook transition to executive chairman in late April resolved his outcome affirmatively, heightening scrutiny on AI leadership stability amid 2026's 128,000-plus tech layoffs and turnovers at Adobe and Spotify. Broader pressures include crypto volatility for Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (12%), Amazon cloud competition for Andy Jassy (15%), Twitch viewbotting issues for Dan Clancy (10%), and Alphabet AI delays for Sundar Pichai (4%). Watch Q2 earnings calls for catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$691,836 Vol.

サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
20%

アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
11%

ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
12%

ダン・クランシー - Twitch
9%

サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
3%
$691,836 Vol.

サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
20%

アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
11%

ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
12%

ダン・クランシー - Twitch
9%

サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
3%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate to exit as CEO before the December 31, 2026, resolution, with a 21% implied probability amid ongoing executive churn—including the April departures of product chief Kevin Weil and design lead Bill Peebles as OpenAI shutters projects like Sora. Apple's Tim Cook transition to executive chairman in late April resolved his outcome affirmatively, heightening scrutiny on AI leadership stability amid 2026's 128,000-plus tech layoffs and turnovers at Adobe and Spotify. Broader pressures include crypto volatility for Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (12%), Amazon cloud competition for Andy Jassy (15%), Twitch viewbotting issues for Dan Clancy (10%), and Alphabet AI delays for Sundar Pichai (4%). Watch Q2 earnings calls for catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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