Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, after announcing in February 2025 that he would not seek reelection. Recent health developments, including a June 2026 fall leading to hospitalization, pneumonia treatment, and extended rehabilitation, prompted calls from Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear for greater transparency or resignation, yet McConnell’s office has affirmed ongoing recovery and engagement with staff. As of early September 2026, reports indicate staff expectations for his return to the Senate floor around September 14 following the August recess. Kentucky’s requirement for a special election in the event of a mid-term vacancy adds procedural considerations, but no formal steps toward early departure have emerged. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
15% 確率
$1,580,418 Vol.
$1,580,418 Vol.
2027/01/02
はい
15% 確率
$1,580,418 Vol.
$1,580,418 Vol.
2027/01/02
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, after announcing in February 2025 that he would not seek reelection. Recent health developments, including a June 2026 fall leading to hospitalization, pneumonia treatment, and extended rehabilitation, prompted calls from Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear for greater transparency or resignation, yet McConnell’s office has affirmed ongoing recovery and engagement with staff. As of early September 2026, reports indicate staff expectations for his return to the Senate floor around September 14 following the August recess. Kentucky’s requirement for a special election in the event of a mid-term vacancy adds procedural considerations, but no formal steps toward early departure have emerged. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
マーケット開始日： Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
音量
$1,580,418終了日
2027/01/03マーケット開始日
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, after announcing in February 2025 that he would not seek reelection. Recent health developments, including a June 2026 fall leading to hospitalization, pneumonia treatment, and extended rehabilitation, prompted calls from Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear for greater transparency or resignation, yet McConnell’s office has affirmed ongoing recovery and engagement with staff. As of early September 2026, reports indicate staff expectations for his return to the Senate floor around September 14 following the August recess. Kentucky’s requirement for a special election in the event of a mid-term vacancy adds procedural considerations, but no formal steps toward early departure have emerged. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
音量
$1,580,418終了日
2027/01/03マーケット開始日
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Mitch McConnell has repeatedly stated his intention to complete his Senate term, which ends in January 2027, after announcing in February 2025 that he would not seek reelection. Recent health developments, including a June 2026 fall leading to hospitalization, pneumonia treatment, and extended rehabilitation, prompted calls from Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear for greater transparency or resignation, yet McConnell’s office has affirmed ongoing recovery and engagement with staff. As of early September 2026, reports indicate staff expectations for his return to the Senate floor around September 14 following the August recess. Kentucky’s requirement for a special election in the event of a mid-term vacancy adds procedural considerations, but no formal steps toward early departure have emerged. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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