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icon for 英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか?

英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか?

icon for 英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか?

英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか?

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket

$97,499 Vol.

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket

$97,499 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.The UK's Labour government has not designated the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under existing terrorism legislation, citing the need for new state-threats powers to address its status as an official Iranian entity. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to enable such proscription, remains at an early parliamentary stage with no fast-track mechanism indicated. EU designation occurred in February 2026 and allied pressure continues, yet UK ministers have repeatedly referenced ongoing legal and procedural requirements. With only sixteen days until the June 30 deadline, the timeline precludes passage, royal assent, and subsequent designation. A sudden emergency measure or reinterpretation of current sanctions could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such steps have been signaled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
音量
$97,499
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.The UK's Labour government has not designated the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under existing terrorism legislation, citing the need for new state-threats powers to address its status as an official Iranian entity. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to enable such proscription, remains at an early parliamentary stage with no fast-track mechanism indicated. EU designation occurred in February 2026 and allied pressure continues, yet UK ministers have repeatedly referenced ongoing legal and procedural requirements. With only sixteen days until the June 30 deadline, the timeline precludes passage, royal assent, and subsequent designation. A sudden emergency measure or reinterpretation of current sanctions could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such steps have been signaled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
音量
$97,499
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

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よくある質問

「英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか? 」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イギリスは6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか? 」は$97.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか? 」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか? 」の現在のリーダーは「イギリスは6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「英国は6月30日までにIRGCをテロ組織に指定しますか? 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。