Gold (XAUUSD) trades near $4,550 following a sharp August rally to three-month highs near $4,700, fueled by U.S. Treasury long-bond buyback expansions, softer early-month inflation and jobs data, and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions and $40 trillion U.S. debt concerns. The pullback stems from sticky July PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks that revived September rate-hike odds near 34%, supporting the dollar and real yields. Traders now focus on upcoming catalysts including September 1–4 releases (manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, jobless claims, services PMI) and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where labor-market strength or persistent price pressures could shift implied rate paths and gold’s near-term direction. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning amid these macro crosscurrents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/04
↑ $4,800
41%
↑ 4,750ドル
41%
↑ $4,700
34%
↑ 4,650ドル
10%
↑ $4,600
21%
↑ $4,550
51%
↑ $4,500
51%
↓ $4,450
51%
↓ $4,400
51%
↓ $4,350
51%
↓ $4,300
50%
↓ 4,250ドル
50%
↓ 4,200ドル
50%
↓ $4,150
50%
$30 Vol.
↑ $4,800
$0 Vol.
41%
↑ 4,750ドル
$0 Vol.
41%
↑ $4,700
$0 Vol.
34%
↑ 4,650ドル
$20 Vol.
10%
↑ $4,600
$0 Vol.
21%
↑ $4,550
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ $4,500
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4,450
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4,400
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4,350
$10 Vol.
51%
↓ $4,300
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 4,250ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 4,200ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $4,150
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold (XAUUSD) trades near $4,550 following a sharp August rally to three-month highs near $4,700, fueled by U.S. Treasury long-bond buyback expansions, softer early-month inflation and jobs data, and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions and $40 trillion U.S. debt concerns. The pullback stems from sticky July PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks that revived September rate-hike odds near 34%, supporting the dollar and real yields. Traders now focus on upcoming catalysts including September 1–4 releases (manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, jobless claims, services PMI) and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where labor-market strength or persistent price pressures could shift implied rate paths and gold’s near-term direction. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning amid these macro crosscurrents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$30終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold (XAUUSD) trades near $4,550 following a sharp August rally to three-month highs near $4,700, fueled by U.S. Treasury long-bond buyback expansions, softer early-month inflation and jobs data, and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions and $40 trillion U.S. debt concerns. The pullback stems from sticky July PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks that revived September rate-hike odds near 34%, supporting the dollar and real yields. Traders now focus on upcoming catalysts including September 1–4 releases (manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, jobless claims, services PMI) and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where labor-market strength or persistent price pressures could shift implied rate paths and gold’s near-term direction. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning amid these macro crosscurrents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
音量
$30終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETGold (XAUUSD) trades near $4,550 following a sharp August rally to three-month highs near $4,700, fueled by U.S. Treasury long-bond buyback expansions, softer early-month inflation and jobs data, and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions and $40 trillion U.S. debt concerns. The pullback stems from sticky July PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks that revived September rate-hike odds near 34%, supporting the dollar and real yields. Traders now focus on upcoming catalysts including September 1–4 releases (manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, jobless claims, services PMI) and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where labor-market strength or persistent price pressures could shift implied rate paths and gold’s near-term direction. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning amid these macro crosscurrents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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