Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,925 Vol.
$28,925 Vol.
2026/06/30
$28,925 Vol.
$28,925 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
音量
$28,925終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$28,925終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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