KMT and TPP cooperation on candidate nominations for the November 28, 2026 local elections has consolidated opposition support across key districts, including New Taipei and Chiayi, where joint polling has favored KMT-backed contenders. The March 2026 corruption conviction and sentencing of TPP founder Ko Wen-je further eroded the smaller party’s standing, shifting momentum toward the KMT under chair Cheng Li-wun. Recent KMT leadership actions, such as Cheng’s April 2026 meetings in China, have reinforced party unity among traditional supporters while the DPP continues navigating candidate selection challenges in urban strongholds. Traders view these structural alignments and the DPP’s minority legislative position as decisive factors favoring KMT control of most magistracies and councils.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트국민당(KMT) 84%
민주진보당(DPP) 17%
대만민중당(TPP) <1%
$111,826 거래량
$111,826 거래량

국민당(KMT)
84%

민주진보당(DPP)
17%

대만민중당(TPP)
<1%
국민당(KMT) 84%
민주진보당(DPP) 17%
대만민중당(TPP) <1%
$111,826 거래량
$111,826 거래량

국민당(KMT)
84%

민주진보당(DPP)
17%

대만민중당(TPP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...KMT and TPP cooperation on candidate nominations for the November 28, 2026 local elections has consolidated opposition support across key districts, including New Taipei and Chiayi, where joint polling has favored KMT-backed contenders. The March 2026 corruption conviction and sentencing of TPP founder Ko Wen-je further eroded the smaller party’s standing, shifting momentum toward the KMT under chair Cheng Li-wun. Recent KMT leadership actions, such as Cheng’s April 2026 meetings in China, have reinforced party unity among traditional supporters while the DPP continues navigating candidate selection challenges in urban strongholds. Traders view these structural alignments and the DPP’s minority legislative position as decisive factors favoring KMT control of most magistracies and councils.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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