Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Alibaba 64%
Baidu 18%
Z.ai 9%
ByteDance 2.6%
$81,278 거래량
$81,278 거래량
2026.05.31
Alibaba
64%
Baidu
18%
Z.ai
9%
ByteDance
3%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Alibaba 64%
Baidu 18%
Z.ai 9%
ByteDance 2.6%
$81,278 거래량
$81,278 거래량
2026.05.31
Alibaba
$15,992 거래량
64%
Baidu
$11,064 거래량
18%
Z.ai
$10,254 거래량
9%
ByteDance
$9,463 거래량
3%
Moonshot
$5,499 거래량
1%
DeepSeek
$6,158 거래량
1%
Xiaomi
$6,886 거래량
1%
MiniMax
$5,163 거래량
1%
Tencent
$4,598 거래량
<1%
Meituan
$3,068 거래량
<1%
StepFun
$3,133 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
거래량
$81,278종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$81,278종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문