The ongoing Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14, 2026—the first U.S. presidential state visit to China since 2017—drives trader consensus toward a 72.5% implied probability for Xi Jinping visiting the United States before 2027, reflecting expectations of reciprocal high-level diplomacy amid tensions over trade, Taiwan, technology, and the Iran war. Official welcoming ceremonies and bilateral talks emphasize stable bilateral relations, aligning with historical patterns of mutual leader summits, though Xi's reduced post-COVID travel adds uncertainty. Traders anticipate a potential U.S. trip later in 2026, possibly linked to G20 or APEC gatherings, as both sides signal interest in de-escalation through personal engagements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$131,253 거래량
$131,253 거래량
예
$131,253 거래량
$131,253 거래량
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14, 2026—the first U.S. presidential state visit to China since 2017—drives trader consensus toward a 72.5% implied probability for Xi Jinping visiting the United States before 2027, reflecting expectations of reciprocal high-level diplomacy amid tensions over trade, Taiwan, technology, and the Iran war. Official welcoming ceremonies and bilateral talks emphasize stable bilateral relations, aligning with historical patterns of mutual leader summits, though Xi's reduced post-COVID travel adds uncertainty. Traders anticipate a potential U.S. trip later in 2026, possibly linked to G20 or APEC gatherings, as both sides signal interest in de-escalation through personal engagements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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