PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PL 77%
UPB 8.3%
MISSÃO 6.0%
FE Brasil 4.9%
$35,139 거래량
$35,139 거래량
2026.10.04
PL
77%
UPB
8%
MISSÃO
6%
FE Brasil
5%
MDB
<1%
PSB
<1%
PSD
<1%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS)
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PDT
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
Avante
<1%
PODE
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 77%
UPB 8.3%
MISSÃO 6.0%
FE Brasil 4.9%
$35,139 거래량
$35,139 거래량
2026.10.04
PL
$22,262 거래량
77%
UPB
$1,307 거래량
8%
MISSÃO
$3,593 거래량
6%
FE Brasil
$1,590 거래량
5%
MDB
$733 거래량
<1%
PSB
$753 거래량
<1%
PSD
$513 거래량
<1%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS)
$706 거래량
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$577 거래량
<1%
PDT
$498 거래량
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$524 거래량
<1%
Avante
$536 거래량
<1%
PODE
$498 거래량
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$544 거래량
<1%
NOVO
$503 거래량
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
거래량
$35,139종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
거래량
$35,139종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL leads the Brazil Chamber of Deputies election market at 89% implied probability due to its status as the largest current bloc with 99 seats, aggressive candidate recruitment, and alignment with right-leaning voter trends in a polarized contest. The party benefits from coattails effects tied to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, as recent June 2026 polls from Quaest, Nexus, and others show a close first-round presidential race between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio, sustaining momentum for PL legislative candidates. FE Brasil trails at 1.6% amid weaker coalition dynamics for left-leaning groups, while smaller parties such as MISSÃO and UPB register minimal support reflecting limited national reach. The October 4, 2026, vote for all 513 seats remains four months away, with open-list proportional representation and state-level alliances likely to shape final seat totals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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