Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
카밀루 산타나 5.1%
Capitão Wagner 2.3%
$55,551 거래량
$55,551 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
카밀루 산타나
5%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Eduardo Girão
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
카밀루 산타나 5.1%
Capitão Wagner 2.3%
$55,551 거래량
$55,551 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 거래량
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,390 거래량
28%
카밀루 산타나
$3,305 거래량
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 거래량
2%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 거래량
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 거래량
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
거래량
$55,551종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$55,551종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문