Recent polling averages position right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella as the primary challenger to left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s May 31 first round, where a runoff follows if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. De la Espriella’s emphasis on military-led security measures and anti-establishment appeals has consolidated conservative support ahead of the vote, while Paloma Valencia’s strong March primary performance for the Democratic Centre has not yet translated into comparable general-election momentum. Cepeda maintains a narrow lead in most surveys through continuity with the current administration’s agenda, but trader consensus on second place reflects the right’s unified path and limited room for other contenders like Sergio Fajardo or Claudia López to surge before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 거래량
$90,132 거래량

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
18%

Iván Cepeda Castro
11%

Claudia López
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 거래량
$90,132 거래량

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
18%

Iván Cepeda Castro
11%

Claudia López
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella as the primary challenger to left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s May 31 first round, where a runoff follows if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. De la Espriella’s emphasis on military-led security measures and anti-establishment appeals has consolidated conservative support ahead of the vote, while Paloma Valencia’s strong March primary performance for the Democratic Centre has not yet translated into comparable general-election momentum. Cepeda maintains a narrow lead in most surveys through continuity with the current administration’s agenda, but trader consensus on second place reflects the right’s unified path and limited room for other contenders like Sergio Fajardo or Claudia López to surge before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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