Recent polling consistently places leftist senator Iván Cepeda ahead for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, yet Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated support among right-leaning voters disillusioned with incumbent policies on security and governance. Espriella’s outsider campaign, modeled on hard-line approaches to crime, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who strengthened her position after a decisive primary win in March but now splits the anti-Petro vote. Ongoing campaign violence and debates over peace negotiations versus military crackdowns have further sharpened divisions, positioning Espriella as the clearest challenger for second place in the fragmented field ahead of a potential June runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 17%
Iván Cepeda Castro 12.0%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 거래량
$90,132 거래량

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
17%

Iván Cepeda Castro
12%

Claudia López
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 17%
Iván Cepeda Castro 12.0%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 거래량
$90,132 거래량

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
17%

Iván Cepeda Castro
12%

Claudia López
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places leftist senator Iván Cepeda ahead for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, yet Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated support among right-leaning voters disillusioned with incumbent policies on security and governance. Espriella’s outsider campaign, modeled on hard-line approaches to crime, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who strengthened her position after a decisive primary win in March but now splits the anti-Petro vote. Ongoing campaign violence and debates over peace negotiations versus military crackdowns have further sharpened divisions, positioning Espriella as the clearest challenger for second place in the fragmented field ahead of a potential June runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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