Trader consensus favors CZ posting 20-39 times on X from May 15 to May 22 at 50% implied probability, aligning with his historical average of 25-32 posts per week observed in prior similar markets and calm periods. The <20 outcome trails closely at 38.5%, driven by a recent slowdown to just three posts in the May 6-13 window—including a reply to PancakeSwap, sharing a CoinDesk article on potential Binance.US revival, and boosting a Crypto Banter interview teaser—which signals subdued activity amid steady crypto market conditions. Higher ranges like 40-59 at 7% reflect infrequent spikes from events such as major announcements or volatility; traders monitor for book promotions or BNB Chain updates that could elevate volume before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CZ # 게시물 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
CZ # 게시물 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
<20 48%
20~39 39%
40-59 6%
60~79 1.1%
<20
48%
20~39
39%
40-59
6%
60~79
1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
<20 48%
20~39 39%
40-59 6%
60~79 1.1%
<20
48%
20~39
39%
40-59
6%
60~79
1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors CZ posting 20-39 times on X from May 15 to May 22 at 50% implied probability, aligning with his historical average of 25-32 posts per week observed in prior similar markets and calm periods. The <20 outcome trails closely at 38.5%, driven by a recent slowdown to just three posts in the May 6-13 window—including a reply to PancakeSwap, sharing a CoinDesk article on potential Binance.US revival, and boosting a Crypto Banter interview teaser—which signals subdued activity amid steady crypto market conditions. Higher ranges like 40-59 at 7% reflect infrequent spikes from events such as major announcements or volatility; traders monitor for book promotions or BNB Chain updates that could elevate volume before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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