Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로렌조 파졸리니 41%
히카르두 페하수 38%
아르날디뉴 보르고 11.3%
세르지오 비디갈 9.3%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
로렌조 파졸리니
41%
히카르두 페하수
38%
아르날디뉴 보르고
11%
세르지오 비디갈
9%
Euclério Sampaio
4%
로렌조 파졸리니 41%
히카르두 페하수 38%
아르날디뉴 보르고 11.3%
세르지오 비디갈 9.3%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
로렌조 파졸리니
$1,949 거래량
41%
히카르두 페하수
$205 거래량
38%
아르날디뉴 보르고
$284 거래량
11%
세르지오 비디갈
$166 거래량
9%
Euclério Sampaio
$248 거래량
4%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
거래량
$2,852종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$2,852종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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