The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 100.0%
2,000억~2,500억 <1%
1,500억 달러 미만 <1%
1,500억~2,000억 달러 <1%
$276,020 거래량
$276,020 거래량
2026.06.30
1,500억 달러 미만
<1%
1,500억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
1%
2,500억~3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000억+
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
100%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 100.0%
2,000억~2,500억 <1%
1,500억 달러 미만 <1%
1,500억~2,000억 달러 <1%
$276,020 거래량
$276,020 거래량
2026.06.30
1,500억 달러 미만
$100,064 거래량
<1%
1,500억~2,000억 달러
$42,952 거래량
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
$31,025 거래량
1%
2,500억~3,000억 달러
$14,222 거래량
<1%
3,000억+
$19,266 거래량
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$68,491 거래량
100%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$276,020종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$276,020종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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