Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads trader assessments for the Galway West by-election to fill the seat vacated by Catherine Connolly's presidential victory, reflecting strong local momentum on cost-of-living pressures, fuel protests, and immigration amid canvassing across the constituency's islands and urban areas. Seán Kyne of Fine Gael follows, drawing on his Senate experience and recent television appearances to consolidate establishment support, while Helen Ogbu of Labour benefits from left-leaning second preferences. Mark Lohan of Sinn Féin and smaller independents trail as the field remains fragmented ahead of the May 22 vote. Recent candidate debates on RTÉ have highlighted these dividing lines without shifting the overall positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트노엘 토마스 56%
마이크 커버드 30.6%
션 카인 20.0%
헬렌 오그부 7.5%
$46,357 거래량
$46,357 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
1%
션 카인
20%
나이얼 머피
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
7%
Orla Nugent
<1%
헬렌 오그부
8%
덴먼 루크
1%
노엘 토마스
56%
토마스 웰비
<1%
마이크 커버드
19%
마크 로한
4%
노엘 토마스 56%
마이크 커버드 30.6%
션 카인 20.0%
헬렌 오그부 7.5%
$46,357 거래량
$46,357 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
$20,246 거래량
1%
션 카인
$4,052 거래량
20%
나이얼 머피
$1,833 거래량
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
$1,646 거래량
7%
Orla Nugent
$1,641 거래량
<1%
헬렌 오그부
$3,887 거래량
8%
덴먼 루크
$1,612 거래량
1%
노엘 토마스
$5,057 거래량
56%
토마스 웰비
$1,697 거래량
<1%
마이크 커버드
$2,177 거래량
19%
마크 로한
$2,509 거래량
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads trader assessments for the Galway West by-election to fill the seat vacated by Catherine Connolly's presidential victory, reflecting strong local momentum on cost-of-living pressures, fuel protests, and immigration amid canvassing across the constituency's islands and urban areas. Seán Kyne of Fine Gael follows, drawing on his Senate experience and recent television appearances to consolidate establishment support, while Helen Ogbu of Labour benefits from left-leaning second preferences. Mark Lohan of Sinn Féin and smaller independents trail as the field remains fragmented ahead of the May 22 vote. Recent candidate debates on RTÉ have highlighted these dividing lines without shifting the overall positioning.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
거래량
$46,357종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads trader assessments for the Galway West by-election to fill the seat vacated by Catherine Connolly's presidential victory, reflecting strong local momentum on cost-of-living pressures, fuel protests, and immigration amid canvassing across the constituency's islands and urban areas. Seán Kyne of Fine Gael follows, drawing on his Senate experience and recent television appearances to consolidate establishment support, while Helen Ogbu of Labour benefits from left-leaning second preferences. Mark Lohan of Sinn Féin and smaller independents trail as the field remains fragmented ahead of the May 22 vote. Recent candidate debates on RTÉ have highlighted these dividing lines without shifting the overall positioning.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
거래량
$46,357종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads trader assessments for the Galway West by-election to fill the seat vacated by Catherine Connolly's presidential victory, reflecting strong local momentum on cost-of-living pressures, fuel protests, and immigration amid canvassing across the constituency's islands and urban areas. Seán Kyne of Fine Gael follows, drawing on his Senate experience and recent television appearances to consolidate establishment support, while Helen Ogbu of Labour benefits from left-leaning second preferences. Mark Lohan of Sinn Féin and smaller independents trail as the field remains fragmented ahead of the May 22 vote. Recent candidate debates on RTÉ have highlighted these dividing lines without shifting the overall positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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