Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트노엘 토마스 42%
션 카인 31.2%
마이크 커버드 9.1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐 9.0%
$47,329 거래량
$47,329 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
1%
션 카인
31%
나이얼 머피
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
9%
Orla Nugent
1%
헬렌 오그부
4%
덴먼 루크
1%
노엘 토마스
47%
토마스 웰비
<1%
마이크 커버드
10%
마크 로한
4%
노엘 토마스 42%
션 카인 31.2%
마이크 커버드 9.1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐 9.0%
$47,329 거래량
$47,329 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
$20,246 거래량
1%
션 카인
$4,700 거래량
31%
나이얼 머피
$1,834 거래량
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
$1,646 거래량
9%
Orla Nugent
$1,680 거래량
1%
헬렌 오그부
$3,933 거래량
4%
덴먼 루크
$1,612 거래량
1%
노엘 토마스
$5,057 거래량
47%
토마스 웰비
$1,697 거래량
<1%
마이크 커버드
$2,416 거래량
10%
마크 로한
$2,509 거래량
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
거래량
$47,329종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
거래량
$47,329종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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