The market's emphasis on 34°C as the top outcome at 50.5% stems from Jakarta's mid-May climatology, where BMKG historical maxima typically fall between 32°C and 35°C during the early dry-season transition. ENSO-neutral conditions currently limit large-scale anomalies, while light steering winds, variable afternoon cloud cover, and the urban heat-island effect around Halim Perdanakusuma station create a tight distribution centered near 33–34°C. Recent daily peaks in the 33–35°C range under partly cloudy skies have reinforced trader consensus on this bracket, with model guidance showing minimal intensification risk before evening sea breezes. Final resolution hinges on official end-of-day observations, leaving room for minor revisions from updated station readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 자카르타에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 56%
33°C 33%
35°C 7%
32°C 6%
$17,631 거래량
$17,631 거래량
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
33%
34°C
51%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C 이상
<1%
34°C 56%
33°C 33%
35°C 7%
32°C 6%
$17,631 거래량
$17,631 거래량
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
33%
34°C
51%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The market's emphasis on 34°C as the top outcome at 50.5% stems from Jakarta's mid-May climatology, where BMKG historical maxima typically fall between 32°C and 35°C during the early dry-season transition. ENSO-neutral conditions currently limit large-scale anomalies, while light steering winds, variable afternoon cloud cover, and the urban heat-island effect around Halim Perdanakusuma station create a tight distribution centered near 33–34°C. Recent daily peaks in the 33–35°C range under partly cloudy skies have reinforced trader consensus on this bracket, with model guidance showing minimal intensification risk before evening sea breezes. Final resolution hinges on official end-of-day observations, leaving room for minor revisions from updated station readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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