Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models project a daytime maximum of 19–20°C in Ankara on May 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly flow. This places the market-implied odds near the upper end of the typical mid-May range, where long-term averages reach 21°C but recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed peak readings by 1–2°C. Minimal convective activity and stable boundary-layer moisture support limited daily variability, keeping extremes above 22°C or below 18°C at low probability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed high before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온?
19°C 39%
20°C 25%
18°C 22%
21°C 15%
$11,302 거래량
$11,302 거래량
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
25%
21°C
15%
22°C
2%
23°C 이상
1%
19°C 39%
20°C 25%
18°C 22%
21°C 15%
$11,302 거래량
$11,302 거래량
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
25%
21°C
15%
22°C
2%
23°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models project a daytime maximum of 19–20°C in Ankara on May 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly flow. This places the market-implied odds near the upper end of the typical mid-May range, where long-term averages reach 21°C but recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed peak readings by 1–2°C. Minimal convective activity and stable boundary-layer moisture support limited daily variability, keeping extremes above 22°C or below 18°C at low probability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed high before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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