Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service position the highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 near 16–18 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating. These runs show modest diurnal ranges under mostly clear skies, keeping maxima below mid-May climatological norms of 22–25 °C. The market’s 37 % implied probability for 17 °C reflects tight model clustering around this value, while the combined 50 % odds for 16 °C or 18 °C capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
17°C 37%
16°C 25%
18°C 25%
15°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
11%
16°C
25%
17°C
37%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C 이상
3%
17°C 37%
16°C 25%
18°C 25%
15°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
10°C 이하
$100 거래량
<1%
11°C
$105 거래량
<1%
12°C
$115 거래량
1%
13°C
$15 거래량
1%
14°C
$17 거래량
3%
15°C
$29 거래량
11%
16°C
$32 거래량
25%
17°C
$242 거래량
37%
18°C
$5 거래량
26%
19°C
$12 거래량
3%
20°C 이상
$63 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service position the highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 near 16–18 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating. These runs show modest diurnal ranges under mostly clear skies, keeping maxima below mid-May climatological norms of 22–25 °C. The market’s 37 % implied probability for 17 °C reflects tight model clustering around this value, while the combined 50 % odds for 16 °C or 18 °C capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$735종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service position the highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 near 16–18 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating. These runs show modest diurnal ranges under mostly clear skies, keeping maxima below mid-May climatological norms of 22–25 °C. The market’s 37 % implied probability for 17 °C reflects tight model clustering around this value, while the combined 50 % odds for 16 °C or 18 °C capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$735종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service position the highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 near 16–18 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating. These runs show modest diurnal ranges under mostly clear skies, keeping maxima below mid-May climatological norms of 22–25 °C. The market’s 37 % implied probability for 17 °C reflects tight model clustering around this value, while the combined 50 % odds for 16 °C or 18 °C capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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