Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 35%
15°C 24%
17°C 17%
18°C 8.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
24%
16°C
35%
17°C
17%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 35%
15°C 24%
17°C 17%
18°C 8.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
10°C or below
$548 거래량
<1%
11°C
$380 거래량
<1%
12°C
$353 거래량
<1%
13°C
$269 거래량
3%
14°C
$403 거래량
9%
15°C
$346 거래량
24%
16°C
$261 거래량
35%
17°C
$529 거래량
17%
18°C
$285 거래량
9%
19°C
$268 거래량
1%
20°C or higher
$390 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$4,033종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$4,033종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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