Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble models currently project Seoul’s May 18 daytime maximum in the 25–28 °C range, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, subsidence, and southerly warm-air advection above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s 66 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher, while the 19 % assigned to exactly 24 °C reflects residual model spread and potential urban heat-island moderation. With resolution set for the official Seoul station maximum and final short-range forecast updates expected within the next 24–48 hours, traders are weighting the latest KMA runs most heavily in assessing whether temperatures will remain above or dip back toward seasonal norms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
25°C or higher 67%
24°C 19%
23°C 11%
22°C 3.1%
신규
$20,114 거래량
신규
$20,114 거래량
2026.05.18
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
67%
25°C or higher 67%
24°C 19%
23°C 11%
22°C 3.1%
신규
$20,114 거래량
신규
$20,114 거래량
2026.05.18
15°C or below
$732 거래량
<1%
16°C
$3,255 거래량
<1%
17°C
$4,535 거래량
<1%
18°C
$1,576 거래량
1%
19°C
$1,563 거래량
1%
20°C
$1,262 거래량
1%
21°C
$2,389 거래량
1%
22°C
$1,581 거래량
3%
23°C
$1,136 거래량
11%
24°C
$869 거래량
19%
25°C or higher
$1,313 거래량
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble models currently project Seoul’s May 18 daytime maximum in the 25–28 °C range, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, subsidence, and southerly warm-air advection above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s 66 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher, while the 19 % assigned to exactly 24 °C reflects residual model spread and potential urban heat-island moderation. With resolution set for the official Seoul station maximum and final short-range forecast updates expected within the next 24–48 hours, traders are weighting the latest KMA runs most heavily in assessing whether temperatures will remain above or dip back toward seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$20,114종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble models currently project Seoul’s May 18 daytime maximum in the 25–28 °C range, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, subsidence, and southerly warm-air advection above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s 66 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher, while the 19 % assigned to exactly 24 °C reflects residual model spread and potential urban heat-island moderation. With resolution set for the official Seoul station maximum and final short-range forecast updates expected within the next 24–48 hours, traders are weighting the latest KMA runs most heavily in assessing whether temperatures will remain above or dip back toward seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$20,114종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensemble models currently project Seoul’s May 18 daytime maximum in the 25–28 °C range, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, subsidence, and southerly warm-air advection above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. This consensus underpins the market’s 66 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher, while the 19 % assigned to exactly 24 °C reflects residual model spread and potential urban heat-island moderation. With resolution set for the official Seoul station maximum and final short-range forecast updates expected within the next 24–48 hours, traders are weighting the latest KMA runs most heavily in assessing whether temperatures will remain above or dip back toward seasonal norms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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