Latest forecasts from European and global models, including those referenced by Spain’s AEMET, point to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C in Madrid on May 17 under generally stable spring conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. These readings align closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average daily highs reach about 23 °C. Recent model runs show only minor day-to-day adjustments in the expected peak, keeping the 22 °C outcome at the highest implied probability while 21 °C and 23 °C remain competitive. No significant warm or cold advection is anticipated overnight, supporting the narrow distribution of market-implied odds around these central values.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
22°C 39%
23°C 26%
21°C 21%
24°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C
26%
24°C
11%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 26%
21°C 21%
24°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
17°C or below
$1,103 거래량
<1%
18°C
$424 거래량
<1%
19°C
$452 거래량
1%
20°C
$510 거래량
6%
21°C
$1,161 거래량
21%
22°C
$670 거래량
39%
23°C
$498 거래량
26%
24°C
$373 거래량
11%
25°C
$396 거래량
1%
26°C
$218 거래량
<1%
27°C or higher
$156 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from European and global models, including those referenced by Spain’s AEMET, point to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C in Madrid on May 17 under generally stable spring conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. These readings align closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average daily highs reach about 23 °C. Recent model runs show only minor day-to-day adjustments in the expected peak, keeping the 22 °C outcome at the highest implied probability while 21 °C and 23 °C remain competitive. No significant warm or cold advection is anticipated overnight, supporting the narrow distribution of market-implied odds around these central values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$5,960종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from European and global models, including those referenced by Spain’s AEMET, point to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C in Madrid on May 17 under generally stable spring conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. These readings align closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average daily highs reach about 23 °C. Recent model runs show only minor day-to-day adjustments in the expected peak, keeping the 22 °C outcome at the highest implied probability while 21 °C and 23 °C remain competitive. No significant warm or cold advection is anticipated overnight, supporting the narrow distribution of market-implied odds around these central values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,960종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest forecasts from European and global models, including those referenced by Spain’s AEMET, point to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C in Madrid on May 17 under generally stable spring conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. These readings align closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average daily highs reach about 23 °C. Recent model runs show only minor day-to-day adjustments in the expected peak, keeping the 22 °C outcome at the highest implied probability while 21 °C and 23 °C remain competitive. No significant warm or cold advection is anticipated overnight, supporting the narrow distribution of market-implied odds around these central values.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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