Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
28%
24°C
36%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
18°C or below
$240 거래량
<1%
19°C
$104 거래량
<1%
20°C
$676 거래량
1%
21°C
$79 거래량
4%
22°C
$120 거래량
10%
23°C
$304 거래량
28%
24°C
$76 거래량
36%
25°C
$358 거래량
18%
26°C
$87 거래량
6%
27°C
$63 거래량
2%
28°C or higher
$203 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$2,309종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,309종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문