Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 21일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 21일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
73°F 이하 43%
92°F 이상 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.21
73°F 이하
43%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
11%
92°F 이상
41%
73°F 이하 43%
92°F 이상 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.21
73°F 이하
$0 거래량
43%
74-75°F
$0 거래량
16%
76-77°F
$0 거래량
18%
78-79°F
$0 거래량
20%
80-81°F
$0 거래량
18%
82-83°F
$0 거래량
18%
84-85°F
$0 거래량
17%
86-87°F
$0 거래량
15%
88-89°F
$0 거래량
13%
90-91°F
$0 거래량
11%
92°F 이상
$21 거래량
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$21종료일
2026.05.21마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$21종료일
2026.05.21마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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