Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–30 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime insolation and warm southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows modest afternoon cloud development and a possible sea-breeze front that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, creating the observed tight clustering among the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes. These values sit 4–7 °C above the mid-May climatological average, consistent with the current stable atmospheric pattern but still sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating. Updated JMA runs later today and early tomorrow will refine the final resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
29°C 35%
30°C or higher 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 8%
신규
$20,898 거래량
신규
$20,898 거래량
2026.05.17
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
28%
29°C
35%
30°C or higher
31%
29°C 35%
30°C or higher 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 8%
신규
$20,898 거래량
신규
$20,898 거래량
2026.05.17
20°C or below
$2,294 거래량
<1%
21°C
$772 거래량
<1%
22°C
$819 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,885 거래량
<1%
24°C
$2,552 거래량
1%
25°C
$2,846 거래량
<1%
26°C
$2,563 거래량
2%
27°C
$1,594 거래량
8%
28°C
$1,491 거래량
28%
29°C
$1,078 거래량
35%
30°C or higher
$2,005 거래량
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–30 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime insolation and warm southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows modest afternoon cloud development and a possible sea-breeze front that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, creating the observed tight clustering among the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes. These values sit 4–7 °C above the mid-May climatological average, consistent with the current stable atmospheric pattern but still sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating. Updated JMA runs later today and early tomorrow will refine the final resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$20,898종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–30 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime insolation and warm southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows modest afternoon cloud development and a possible sea-breeze front that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, creating the observed tight clustering among the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes. These values sit 4–7 °C above the mid-May climatological average, consistent with the current stable atmospheric pattern but still sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating. Updated JMA runs later today and early tomorrow will refine the final resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$20,898종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–30 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that favors strong daytime insolation and warm southerly advection. Ensemble guidance shows modest afternoon cloud development and a possible sea-breeze front that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, creating the observed tight clustering among the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes. These values sit 4–7 °C above the mid-May climatological average, consistent with the current stable atmospheric pattern but still sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating. Updated JMA runs later today and early tomorrow will refine the final resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문