Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 상하이에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 상하이에서 가장 높은 온도는?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C 이상
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
21°C 이하
$228 거래량
<1%
22°C
$455 거래량
1%
23°C
$1,182 거래량
2%
24°C
$1,684 거래량
6%
25°C
$544 거래량
17%
26°C
$421 거래량
34%
27°C
$214 거래량
29%
28°C
$295 거래량
11%
29°C
$310 거래량
3%
30°C
$251 거래량
1%
31°C 이상
$247 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$5,819종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,819종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models cluster Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 17 tightly around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Mild southerly flow and partial cloud cover limit surface heating, while East China Sea moisture and the urban heat island effect keep readings near mid-May climatological norms of 25–26°C. Model divergence centers on sea-breeze onset timing: earlier onshore winds favor a 25°C peak, whereas delayed clearing could allow brief 28°C readings. Low-level humidity variations introduce residual uncertainty ahead of final China Meteorological Administration station measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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