Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 거래량
$19,356 거래량
2026.06.17
0
74%
1
15%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 거래량
$19,356 거래량
2026.06.17
0
$12,789 거래량
74%
1
$372 거래량
15%
2
$155 거래량
7%
3
$856 거래량
6%
4+
$5,184 거래량
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
거래량
$19,356종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$19,356종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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