Christina Bohannan's 93.8% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary on June 2 reflects trader consensus on her dominance, driven by superior fundraising—outraising even the GOP incumbent in April reports—name recognition from narrow 2022 and 2024 general election losses to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, and endorsements from EMILYs List, 314 Action Fund, and Foreign Policy for America. Challengers Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach trail due to limited resources and visibility in this closed primary, with recent focus on health care divides in district forums reinforcing her establishment edge. Upsets remain possible via late debate gaffes, scandal revelations, or unexpected turnout surges among progressive voters, though such shifts are improbable absent major catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트IA-01 민주당 1차 당선자
IA-01 민주당 1차 당선자
크리스티나 보한난 93.8%
트래비스 테렐 4.0%
테일러 웨타흐 1.9%
$20,159 거래량
$20,159 거래량
2026.06.02
크리스티나 보한난
94%
트래비스 테렐
4%
테일러 웨타흐
2%
크리스티나 보한난 93.8%
트래비스 테렐 4.0%
테일러 웨타흐 1.9%
$20,159 거래량
$20,159 거래량
2026.06.02
크리스티나 보한난
$14,317 거래량
94%
트래비스 테렐
$2,583 거래량
4%
테일러 웨타흐
$3,258 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's 93.8% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary on June 2 reflects trader consensus on her dominance, driven by superior fundraising—outraising even the GOP incumbent in April reports—name recognition from narrow 2022 and 2024 general election losses to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, and endorsements from EMILYs List, 314 Action Fund, and Foreign Policy for America. Challengers Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach trail due to limited resources and visibility in this closed primary, with recent focus on health care divides in district forums reinforcing her establishment edge. Upsets remain possible via late debate gaffes, scandal revelations, or unexpected turnout surges among progressive voters, though such shifts are improbable absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$20,159종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's 93.8% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary on June 2 reflects trader consensus on her dominance, driven by superior fundraising—outraising even the GOP incumbent in April reports—name recognition from narrow 2022 and 2024 general election losses to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, and endorsements from EMILYs List, 314 Action Fund, and Foreign Policy for America. Challengers Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach trail due to limited resources and visibility in this closed primary, with recent focus on health care divides in district forums reinforcing her establishment edge. Upsets remain possible via late debate gaffes, scandal revelations, or unexpected turnout surges among progressive voters, though such shifts are improbable absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$20,159종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christina Bohannan's 93.8% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary on June 2 reflects trader consensus on her dominance, driven by superior fundraising—outraising even the GOP incumbent in April reports—name recognition from narrow 2022 and 2024 general election losses to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, and endorsements from EMILYs List, 314 Action Fund, and Foreign Policy for America. Challengers Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach trail due to limited resources and visibility in this closed primary, with recent focus on health care divides in district forums reinforcing her establishment edge. Upsets remain possible via late debate gaffes, scandal revelations, or unexpected turnout surges among progressive voters, though such shifts are improbable absent major catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문