Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$194,991 거래량
$194,991 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$194,991 거래량
$194,991 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
거래량
$194,991종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$194,991종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain near-even trader odds on whether Tehran will publicly commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has recently expressed readiness to downblend its highly enriched stockpiles and accept IAEA verification while reviewing a U.S. framework that includes sanctions relief and a possible multi-year moratorium, yet it continues to assert an inalienable right to limited domestic enrichment. Stalled indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan reflect core disputes over up-front concessions, stockpile transfers, and the length of any suspension, leaving room for either a phased diplomatic breakthrough or renewed deadlock before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문