Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
Khamenei # posts 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
<5 49%
55~59 10.7%
5~9 8%
10-14 1.1%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<5
49%
5~9
26%
10-14
22%
15~19
23%
20~24
22%
25-29
22%
30-34
18%
35~39
1%
40~44
1%
45~49
1%
50-54
20%
55~59
11%
60+
1%
<5 49%
55~59 10.7%
5~9 8%
10-14 1.1%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<5
$297 거래량
49%
5~9
$81 거래량
26%
10-14
$90 거래량
22%
15~19
$63 거래량
23%
20~24
$59 거래량
22%
25-29
$59 거래량
22%
30-34
$120 거래량
18%
35~39
$88 거래량
1%
40~44
$190 거래량
1%
45~49
$120 거래량
1%
50-54
$197 거래량
20%
55~59
$179 거래량
11%
60+
$338 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$1,879종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$1,879종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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