Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for the next Quebec premier at 64 percent, driven by the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling advantage ahead of the October 2026 general election. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the field: Christine Fréchette secured the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership in April and assumed the premiership, yet the party remains mired in single digits while the Parti Québécois holds a narrow edge over the Liberals. Charles Milliard’s February acclamation as Liberal leader has consolidated that party’s position at roughly 28–32 percent support, but the Parti Québécois’s stronger trajectory among nationalist voters continues to anchor market pricing. Traders view Plamondon’s durable lead in provincial surveys as the primary factor elevating his implied probability well above rivals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%
Charles Milliard 23%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.1%
$27,087 거래량
$27,087 거래량
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
64%
Charles Milliard
23%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%
Charles Milliard 23%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.1%
$27,087 거래량
$27,087 거래량
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
64%
Charles Milliard
23%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for the next Quebec premier at 64 percent, driven by the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling advantage ahead of the October 2026 general election. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the field: Christine Fréchette secured the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership in April and assumed the premiership, yet the party remains mired in single digits while the Parti Québécois holds a narrow edge over the Liberals. Charles Milliard’s February acclamation as Liberal leader has consolidated that party’s position at roughly 28–32 percent support, but the Parti Québécois’s stronger trajectory among nationalist voters continues to anchor market pricing. Traders view Plamondon’s durable lead in provincial surveys as the primary factor elevating his implied probability well above rivals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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