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Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 24%

Christine Fréchette 10.4%

Éric Duhaime 1.3%

Polymarket

$26,850 거래량

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 24%

Christine Fréchette 10.4%

Éric Duhaime 1.3%

Polymarket

$26,850 거래량

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,641 거래량

65%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,821 거래량

24%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,262 거래량

13%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 거래량

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 거래량

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 거래량

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 거래량

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's next premier because recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals tied near 32 percent in popular support ahead of the October 2026 election, yet PQ strength in francophone ridings projects a National Assembly majority under the current electoral map. Charles Milliard, acclaimed Liberal leader in February after Pablo Rodriguez's resignation, has narrowed the gap by improving party fortunes in Montreal and anglophone areas. Christine Fréchette leads a Coalition Avenir Québec hampered by voter fatigue following François Legault's January exit, while Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates remain marginal in the two-way contest. Scheduled debates and ongoing polling shifts could still alter seat projections before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$26,850
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's next premier because recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals tied near 32 percent in popular support ahead of the October 2026 election, yet PQ strength in francophone ridings projects a National Assembly majority under the current electoral map. Charles Milliard, acclaimed Liberal leader in February after Pablo Rodriguez's resignation, has narrowed the gap by improving party fortunes in Montreal and anglophone areas. Christine Fréchette leads a Coalition Avenir Québec hampered by voter fatigue following François Legault's January exit, while Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates remain marginal in the two-way contest. Scheduled debates and ongoing polling shifts could still alter seat projections before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$26,850
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Next Premier of Quebec"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 65%의 "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon"이며, 이어서 24%의 "Charles Milliard"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 65¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 65%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Next Premier of Quebec"은 총 $26.8K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 May 1, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Next Premier of Quebec"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Next Premier of Quebec"의 현재 유력 후보는 65%의 "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 65%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 24%의 "Charles Milliard"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Next Premier of Quebec"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.