Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, which under Sweden’s proportional representation system typically positions the leader of the largest party in the leading bloc to become prime minister. This underpins trader consensus assigning Magdalena Andersson a 68.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson’s 29.5 percent reflects the governing Tidö coalition’s challenges with immigration enforcement, economic conditions, and gang violence, even after his April proposal to formalize Sweden Democrats participation with ministerial roles. Smaller-party leaders remain at marginal levels consistent with historical patterns where bloc leaders dominate prime-minister markets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트마그달레나 안데르손 69%
울프 크리스테르손 30%
지미 오케손 2.3%
엠바 부슈 <1%
$1,953,793 거래량
$1,953,793 거래량
마그달레나 안데르손
69%
울프 크리스테르손
30%
지미 오케손
2%
엠바 부슈
1%
안나-카린 하트
<1%
아만다 린드
<1%
시모나 모함손
<1%
다니엘 헬덴
<1%
누시 다드고스타르
<1%
엘리사벳 탄드 링크비스트
<1%
마그달레나 안데르손 69%
울프 크리스테르손 30%
지미 오케손 2.3%
엠바 부슈 <1%
$1,953,793 거래량
$1,953,793 거래량
마그달레나 안데르손
69%
울프 크리스테르손
30%
지미 오케손
2%
엠바 부슈
1%
안나-카린 하트
<1%
아만다 린드
<1%
시모나 모함손
<1%
다니엘 헬덴
<1%
누시 다드고스타르
<1%
엘리사벳 탄드 링크비스트
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of 32–34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, which under Sweden’s proportional representation system typically positions the leader of the largest party in the leading bloc to become prime minister. This underpins trader consensus assigning Magdalena Andersson a 68.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson’s 29.5 percent reflects the governing Tidö coalition’s challenges with immigration enforcement, economic conditions, and gang violence, even after his April proposal to formalize Sweden Democrats participation with ministerial roles. Smaller-party leaders remain at marginal levels consistent with historical patterns where bloc leaders dominate prime-minister markets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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