Ruling Democratic Party (DP) incumbents resigned their National Assembly seats to contest June 3 local races, leaving 13 of the 14 by-election districts in traditional DP strongholds ahead of the vote that coincides with nationwide local elections. President Lee Jae-myung’s administration maintains approval near 60 percent following its snap victory last year, giving the party structural advantages in candidate quality, campaign resources, and regional turnout patterns. Traders have priced a 72.3 percent chance of 10 or more seats for the DP, reflecting expectations that the party will retain most vacated constituencies while the conservative opposition struggles to mount competitive challenges in these areas. Upcoming final weeks of campaigning and any late shifts in national sentiment remain the primary variables that could still alter the seat tally before results are certified.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트10개 이상 66.1%
8~9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,507 거래량
$34,507 거래량
2026.06.03
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8~9
25%
10개 이상
72%
10개 이상 66.1%
8~9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,507 거래량
$34,507 거래량
2026.06.03
0-1
$3,928 거래량
<1%
2-3
$5,328 거래량
<1%
4-5
$3,763 거래량
<1%
6-7
$3,754 거래량
<1%
8~9
$4,373 거래량
25%
10개 이상
$13,360 거래량
72%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Ruling Democratic Party (DP) incumbents resigned their National Assembly seats to contest June 3 local races, leaving 13 of the 14 by-election districts in traditional DP strongholds ahead of the vote that coincides with nationwide local elections. President Lee Jae-myung’s administration maintains approval near 60 percent following its snap victory last year, giving the party structural advantages in candidate quality, campaign resources, and regional turnout patterns. Traders have priced a 72.3 percent chance of 10 or more seats for the DP, reflecting expectations that the party will retain most vacated constituencies while the conservative opposition struggles to mount competitive challenges in these areas. Upcoming final weeks of campaigning and any late shifts in national sentiment remain the primary variables that could still alter the seat tally before results are certified.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
거래량
$34,507종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Ruling Democratic Party (DP) incumbents resigned their National Assembly seats to contest June 3 local races, leaving 13 of the 14 by-election districts in traditional DP strongholds ahead of the vote that coincides with nationwide local elections. President Lee Jae-myung’s administration maintains approval near 60 percent following its snap victory last year, giving the party structural advantages in candidate quality, campaign resources, and regional turnout patterns. Traders have priced a 72.3 percent chance of 10 or more seats for the DP, reflecting expectations that the party will retain most vacated constituencies while the conservative opposition struggles to mount competitive challenges in these areas. Upcoming final weeks of campaigning and any late shifts in national sentiment remain the primary variables that could still alter the seat tally before results are certified.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
거래량
$34,507종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ruling Democratic Party (DP) incumbents resigned their National Assembly seats to contest June 3 local races, leaving 13 of the 14 by-election districts in traditional DP strongholds ahead of the vote that coincides with nationwide local elections. President Lee Jae-myung’s administration maintains approval near 60 percent following its snap victory last year, giving the party structural advantages in candidate quality, campaign resources, and regional turnout patterns. Traders have priced a 72.3 percent chance of 10 or more seats for the DP, reflecting expectations that the party will retain most vacated constituencies while the conservative opposition struggles to mount competitive challenges in these areas. Upcoming final weeks of campaigning and any late shifts in national sentiment remain the primary variables that could still alter the seat tally before results are certified.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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