The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections holding a structural edge as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, whose approval ratings hover near 60 percent amid expectations of broad gains in the simultaneous nationwide local contests. With up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake—most vacated by Democratic lawmakers shifting to local races—the party benefits from incumbency advantages, unified candidate nominations, and voter momentum following the prior administration's instability. Traders price the 10+ seat outcome highest because historical patterns and current polling show the opposition People Power Party struggling to capitalize on any backlash, while Democratic turnout and regional strongholds point to defensive holds plus potential pickups. Upcoming campaign events and final voter surveys in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could still adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트10개 이상 80.7%
8~9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 거래량
$34,584 거래량
2026.06.03
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8~9
12%
10개 이상
77%
10개 이상 80.7%
8~9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 거래량
$34,584 거래량
2026.06.03
0-1
$3,928 거래량
<1%
2-3
$5,328 거래량
<1%
4-5
$3,763 거래량
<1%
6-7
$3,754 거래량
<1%
8~9
$4,426 거래량
12%
10개 이상
$13,385 거래량
77%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections holding a structural edge as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, whose approval ratings hover near 60 percent amid expectations of broad gains in the simultaneous nationwide local contests. With up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake—most vacated by Democratic lawmakers shifting to local races—the party benefits from incumbency advantages, unified candidate nominations, and voter momentum following the prior administration's instability. Traders price the 10+ seat outcome highest because historical patterns and current polling show the opposition People Power Party struggling to capitalize on any backlash, while Democratic turnout and regional strongholds point to defensive holds plus potential pickups. Upcoming campaign events and final voter surveys in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could still adjust these probabilities before resolution.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
거래량
$34,584종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections holding a structural edge as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, whose approval ratings hover near 60 percent amid expectations of broad gains in the simultaneous nationwide local contests. With up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake—most vacated by Democratic lawmakers shifting to local races—the party benefits from incumbency advantages, unified candidate nominations, and voter momentum following the prior administration's instability. Traders price the 10+ seat outcome highest because historical patterns and current polling show the opposition People Power Party struggling to capitalize on any backlash, while Democratic turnout and regional strongholds point to defensive holds plus potential pickups. Upcoming campaign events and final voter surveys in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could still adjust these probabilities before resolution.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
거래량
$34,584종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections holding a structural edge as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, whose approval ratings hover near 60 percent amid expectations of broad gains in the simultaneous nationwide local contests. With up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake—most vacated by Democratic lawmakers shifting to local races—the party benefits from incumbency advantages, unified candidate nominations, and voter momentum following the prior administration's instability. Traders price the 10+ seat outcome highest because historical patterns and current polling show the opposition People Power Party struggling to capitalize on any backlash, while Democratic turnout and regional strongholds point to defensive holds plus potential pickups. Upcoming campaign events and final voter surveys in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could still adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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