Vladimir Putin’s constitutional path to remain in office until 2036, established by 2020 amendments that reset term limits after his 2024 reelection, continues to anchor trader expectations of continuity through the end of 2026. On May 9 he used the Victory Day parade in Moscow to project stability, denounce NATO, and frame the Ukraine conflict as nearing an acceptable conclusion on Russian terms, amid a short U.S.-mediated ceasefire. No verified health issues, elite fractures, or coup signals have emerged in the past month, while Kremlin security measures have reinforced control. These factors sustain the 88.5 percent implied probability that Putin will still hold the presidency on December 31, 2026, absent any sudden institutional or military reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$4,270,274 거래량
$4,270,274 거래량
예
$4,270,274 거래량
$4,270,274 거래량
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s constitutional path to remain in office until 2036, established by 2020 amendments that reset term limits after his 2024 reelection, continues to anchor trader expectations of continuity through the end of 2026. On May 9 he used the Victory Day parade in Moscow to project stability, denounce NATO, and frame the Ukraine conflict as nearing an acceptable conclusion on Russian terms, amid a short U.S.-mediated ceasefire. No verified health issues, elite fractures, or coup signals have emerged in the past month, while Kremlin security measures have reinforced control. These factors sustain the 88.5 percent implied probability that Putin will still hold the presidency on December 31, 2026, absent any sudden institutional or military reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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