Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
BSW <1%
녹색당 <1%
$703,067 거래량
$703,067 거래량

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

녹색당
1%

FDP
<1%

좌파
<1%

SPD
<1%
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
BSW <1%
녹색당 <1%
$703,067 거래량
$703,067 거래량

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

녹색당
1%

FDP
<1%

좌파
<1%

SPD
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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