**US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary framework agreement, described as a memorandum of understanding, on June 15, 2026, after months of conflict and intermittent talks.** The MoU extends a fragile ceasefire by 60 days, facilitates reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and addresses hostilities in Lebanon while deferring deeper issues such as Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief to follow-on negotiations. Both sides have completed electronic signatures on the document, with President Trump stating the deal is complete and mediators confirming a formal physical signing ceremony scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Switzerland. This rapid diplomatic breakthrough follows earlier Pakistan-mediated ceasefires and stalled rounds in Geneva and Islamabad. The timing of the in-person ceremony and any public release of the full text remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift trader assessments on when physical signing occurs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 19일
79%
6월 30일
82%
$4,240 거래량
6월 19일
79%
6월 30일
82%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary framework agreement, described as a memorandum of understanding, on June 15, 2026, after months of conflict and intermittent talks.** The MoU extends a fragile ceasefire by 60 days, facilitates reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and addresses hostilities in Lebanon while deferring deeper issues such as Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief to follow-on negotiations. Both sides have completed electronic signatures on the document, with President Trump stating the deal is complete and mediators confirming a formal physical signing ceremony scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Switzerland. This rapid diplomatic breakthrough follows earlier Pakistan-mediated ceasefires and stalled rounds in Geneva and Islamabad. The timing of the in-person ceremony and any public release of the full text remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift trader assessments on when physical signing occurs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문