US-Cuba economic relations remain shaped by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure approach, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration (EO 14380) that enabled tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and the May 2026 follow-on order (EO 14404) authorizing secondary sanctions on foreign entities engaging key Cuban sectors such as energy, mining, and finance, plus designations targeting GAESA and regime figures. These steps built on the cutoff of Venezuelan oil shipments and have deepened Cuba’s documented fuel and economic crisis. Earlier reports of possible talks on sanctions relief in exchange for reforms or sector-specific cooperation have not produced confirmed progress, while Cuba has rejected preconditions tied to governance changes. Trader assessments of any near-term deal therefore hinge on whether sustained economic strain prompts Havana to negotiate or whether further US designations and enforcement actions lock in the restrictive status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$345,460 거래량
6월 30일
2%
July 31
10%
December 31
56%
$345,460 거래량
6월 30일
2%
July 31
10%
December 31
56%
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Cuba economic relations remain shaped by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure approach, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration (EO 14380) that enabled tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and the May 2026 follow-on order (EO 14404) authorizing secondary sanctions on foreign entities engaging key Cuban sectors such as energy, mining, and finance, plus designations targeting GAESA and regime figures. These steps built on the cutoff of Venezuelan oil shipments and have deepened Cuba’s documented fuel and economic crisis. Earlier reports of possible talks on sanctions relief in exchange for reforms or sector-specific cooperation have not produced confirmed progress, while Cuba has rejected preconditions tied to governance changes. Trader assessments of any near-term deal therefore hinge on whether sustained economic strain prompts Havana to negotiate or whether further US designations and enforcement actions lock in the restrictive status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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