Traders view the Federal Reserve chair transition as tightly contested because Jerome Powell’s current term expires in mid-May 2026, placing the highest probabilities on the immediate two-week windows that straddle that date. The narrow gap between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals reflects ongoing uncertainty about whether Powell will step down exactly at term end or remain briefly during the confirmation process for a successor. No recent public statements from Powell or the White House have resolved the timing, while Senate confirmation procedures and historical precedent for chairs serving through orderly handovers continue to balance sentiment. Any formal resignation announcement or nomination filing in the next several days could quickly widen the spread between those two leading outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트May 15–22 53.0%
May 23–29 38.4%
May 30–June 5 6.6%
June 6–12 2.6%
$166,486 거래량
$166,486 거래량
2026.07.03
May 15–22
52%
May 23–29
43%
May 30–June 5
7%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 53.0%
May 23–29 38.4%
May 30–June 5 6.6%
June 6–12 2.6%
$166,486 거래량
$166,486 거래량
2026.07.03
May 15–22
$63,133 거래량
52%
May 23–29
$8,245 거래량
43%
May 30–June 5
$9,117 거래량
7%
June 6–12
$9,039 거래량
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 거래량
1%
June 20–26
$10,068 거래량
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,179 거래량
1%
After July 3
$15,899 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders view the Federal Reserve chair transition as tightly contested because Jerome Powell’s current term expires in mid-May 2026, placing the highest probabilities on the immediate two-week windows that straddle that date. The narrow gap between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals reflects ongoing uncertainty about whether Powell will step down exactly at term end or remain briefly during the confirmation process for a successor. No recent public statements from Powell or the White House have resolved the timing, while Senate confirmation procedures and historical precedent for chairs serving through orderly handovers continue to balance sentiment. Any formal resignation announcement or nomination filing in the next several days could quickly widen the spread between those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
거래량
$166,486종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders view the Federal Reserve chair transition as tightly contested because Jerome Powell’s current term expires in mid-May 2026, placing the highest probabilities on the immediate two-week windows that straddle that date. The narrow gap between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals reflects ongoing uncertainty about whether Powell will step down exactly at term end or remain briefly during the confirmation process for a successor. No recent public statements from Powell or the White House have resolved the timing, while Senate confirmation procedures and historical precedent for chairs serving through orderly handovers continue to balance sentiment. Any formal resignation announcement or nomination filing in the next several days could quickly widen the spread between those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$166,486종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Traders view the Federal Reserve chair transition as tightly contested because Jerome Powell’s current term expires in mid-May 2026, placing the highest probabilities on the immediate two-week windows that straddle that date. The narrow gap between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals reflects ongoing uncertainty about whether Powell will step down exactly at term end or remain briefly during the confirmation process for a successor. No recent public statements from Powell or the White House have resolved the timing, while Senate confirmation procedures and historical precedent for chairs serving through orderly handovers continue to balance sentiment. Any formal resignation announcement or nomination filing in the next several days could quickly widen the spread between those two leading outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문