Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트May 15–22 55.8%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.7%
$168,186 거래량
$168,186 거래량
2026.07.03
May 15–22
56%
May 23–29
34%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 55.8%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.7%
$168,186 거래량
$168,186 거래량
2026.07.03
May 15–22
$64,660 거래량
56%
May 23–29
$8,345 거래량
34%
May 30–June 5
$9,137 거래량
5%
June 6–12
$9,059 거래량
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 거래량
2%
June 20–26
$10,068 거래량
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 거래량
1%
After July 3
$15,911 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
거래량
$168,186종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$168,186종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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