Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 거래량
$169,680 거래량
2026.07.03
May 15–22
45%
May 23–29
39%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 거래량
$169,680 거래량
2026.07.03
May 15–22
$65,200 거래량
45%
May 23–29
$8,345 거래량
39%
May 30–June 5
$9,137 거래량
6%
June 6–12
$9,059 거래량
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 거래량
2%
June 20–26
$10,436 거래량
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 거래량
1%
After July 3
$16,497 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
거래량
$169,680종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$169,680종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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