Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$321,214 거래량
2026.10.04
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
84%
플라비오 보우소나루
72%
페르난두 아다지
8%
미셸 볼소나루
4%
자이르 보우소나루
3%
타르시지우 데 프레이타스
3%
$321,214 거래량
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$135,111 거래량
84%
플라비오 보우소나루
$20,612 거래량
72%
페르난두 아다지
$51,472 거래량
8%
미셸 볼소나루
$26,646 거래량
4%
자이르 보우소나루
$11,325 거래량
3%
타르시지우 데 프레이타스
$76,048 거래량
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
거래량
$321,214종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$321,214종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeks a fourth term amid economic pressures and approval ratings near 45 percent, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro carries the right-wing candidacy after his father Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility following a coup-related conviction. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel polls show the pair statistically tied in runoff simulations, with first-round intentions splitting between 39 and 46 percent for each amid a fragmented field that includes Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff hinge on vote consolidation, ongoing Supreme Court scrutiny of Flávio Bolsonaro over funding allegations, and any late endorsements or economic data that could shift undecided voters in this closely contested race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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