President Trump's confirmed state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, has driven trader consensus to 100% on that outcome, reflecting credible reports of scheduled in-person talks on trade tariffs, AI regulations, Taiwan arms sales, and China's role in Iran war de-escalation. Elon Musk's inclusion in the CEO delegation pushes his meeting probability to 99.9%, amid economic diplomacy priorities. Lower odds for Vladimir Putin (2.5%), Benjamin Netanyahu (7.8%), and others like Giorgia Meloni or Mohammed bin Salman stem from no announced May engagements, constrained by Trump's packed schedule ahead of the June G7 summit; late cancellations or surprises remain possible but unlikely per diplomatic protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$353,016 거래량
Xi Jinping
100%
Elon Musk
100%
Giorgia Meloni
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
Keir Starmer
6%
Mohammed bin Salman
6%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
5%
Vladimir Putin
2%
Kim Jong Un
1%
$353,016 거래량
Xi Jinping
100%
Elon Musk
100%
Giorgia Meloni
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
Keir Starmer
6%
Mohammed bin Salman
6%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
5%
Vladimir Putin
2%
Kim Jong Un
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, has driven trader consensus to 100% on that outcome, reflecting credible reports of scheduled in-person talks on trade tariffs, AI regulations, Taiwan arms sales, and China's role in Iran war de-escalation. Elon Musk's inclusion in the CEO delegation pushes his meeting probability to 99.9%, amid economic diplomacy priorities. Lower odds for Vladimir Putin (2.5%), Benjamin Netanyahu (7.8%), and others like Giorgia Meloni or Mohammed bin Salman stem from no announced May engagements, constrained by Trump's packed schedule ahead of the June G7 summit; late cancellations or surprises remain possible but unlikely per diplomatic protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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