Recent polls show the AfD leading in Sachsen-Anhalt with 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. Proportional seat allocation and the 5 percent threshold create uncertainty, as smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, and Greens hover near or below this line, which could dilute or concentrate AfD's share. Traders assign the "no" outcome a 57.5 percent implied probability because an absolute majority requires the party to exceed recent trends while other parties fail to clear the threshold. All major competitors have ruled out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to governing power even as its polling edge widens.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,750 거래량
$30,750 거래량
2026.09.06
$30,750 거래량
$30,750 거래량
2026.09.06
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls show the AfD leading in Sachsen-Anhalt with 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. Proportional seat allocation and the 5 percent threshold create uncertainty, as smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, and Greens hover near or below this line, which could dilute or concentrate AfD's share. Traders assign the "no" outcome a 57.5 percent implied probability because an absolute majority requires the party to exceed recent trends while other parties fail to clear the threshold. All major competitors have ruled out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to governing power even as its polling edge widens.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
거래량
$30,750종료일
2026.09.06마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls show the AfD leading in Sachsen-Anhalt with 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. Proportional seat allocation and the 5 percent threshold create uncertainty, as smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, and Greens hover near or below this line, which could dilute or concentrate AfD's share. Traders assign the "no" outcome a 57.5 percent implied probability because an absolute majority requires the party to exceed recent trends while other parties fail to clear the threshold. All major competitors have ruled out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to governing power even as its polling edge widens.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
거래량
$30,750종료일
2026.09.06마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show the AfD leading in Sachsen-Anhalt with 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. Proportional seat allocation and the 5 percent threshold create uncertainty, as smaller parties including the SPD, BSW, and Greens hover near or below this line, which could dilute or concentrate AfD's share. Traders assign the "no" outcome a 57.5 percent implied probability because an absolute majority requires the party to exceed recent trends while other parties fail to clear the threshold. All major competitors have ruled out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to governing power even as its polling edge widens.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문